August 6, 2010 05:13

Forex Signals – EUR/USD Mixed Signals

By:

CP Update: First off, wow, it has been a long week! I’m humbled that so many people are bursting down the doors to get at CandlePro – I just wish I had bigger doors to let everyone in! Speaking of which I’ll be working as quickly as possible to migrate to a bigger and better server to, first of all, get the 50 US session seats out there at the discounted price and, second, open enrollment to everyone with a payment processor that accepts payment from countries such as Nigeria and Pakistan.

Things are going great though, with traders strategizing about the best ways to integrate with their trading strategies. It is powerful, so there are a lot of different ways to use it.

Daily Outlook: EUR/USD is mixed at best today and caution is advised. Medium term trend is still bullish, but it has lost some momentum in the short-term with a retracement to the 1.30 area becoming more likely. It is Friday so I will stay out of the markets (and get some much-needed sleep!).

Trading Idea: I think all trades are fairly aggressive today, but if I were determined to trade my primary trade would be a short on another failure (or bearish candlestick for CP users) of 1.3200 as the pair has failed to close above this level on the 4h charts a few time. From 1.3200 short targets would be 1.3175, 1.3145, 1.3115 and 1.3085 for 115  pips profit

For CandlePro users: that bearish engulfing on the UJ is enticing. The pair has been in a strong downtrend recently. Only real threat to the trade, technically speaking, is the strong daily support between 84-86 but that gives plenty of room for various TP levels.


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77 Comments on "Forex Signals – EUR/USD Mixed Signals"
  1. Avatar of radulapadat
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 05:16
    radulapadat says:

    @piphut thx for today’a signal

  2. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 05:17
    Dinesh says:

    Hi gm to all…. thanks for the signal….

    Have nice day..

    Enjoy weekend..!!!!!!!

  3. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 05:26
    Dinesh says:

    your signal is really good for long position

  4. Avatar of flynod
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 05:44
    flynod says:

    ‘morning Mark, ‘morning all…

    mark, thanks for……. all :)

    have a nice day/evening everybody

  5. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 05:45
    Anietie says:

    Hi everyone good morning… thank you for the signal!!!

    • Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 06:43
      jim (eket) says:

      Ani…aba..dieh..?

  6. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 06:08
    mAhdi_PmA says:

    hi

  7. Avatar of saharaview
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 06:39
    saharaview says:

    GM all

  8. Avatar of sheridano
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 06:47
    sheridano says:

    Mark not sure if your there but ive still not managed to get into the system

    • Avatar of piphut
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 14:04
      piphut says:

      @sheridano – can you submit a help ticket with what error you are seeing and what browser you are using?

      P.S. Make sure you are using a newer browser (IE8+, FF3+). I recommend FireFox and it can be downloaded for free at http://firefox.com

  9. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 06:58
    nassiri says:

    Hi
    Now
    GBP-USD M15 Bearish ButterFly SL:1.5920
    GBP-JPY M30 Bearish Bat SL: 139.20
    Euro-CHF H1 Bearish Gartley SL:1.03870
    Euro-JPY M30 Bearish Gartley SL:113.76

    • Avatar of persiangolf
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 09:21
      persiangolf says:

      thank you mr nasiri!
      bravo
      i make 3500$ by your signals.

      • Avatar of nassiri
        Comment left on:
        August 6, 2010 at 09:24
        nassiri says:

        U w C

  10. Avatar of maher17
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 07:56
    maher17 says:

    @nassiri where u get this signals from

    • Avatar of nassiri
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 09:23
      nassiri says:

      form Israel :D

  11. Avatar of mike
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:00
    mike says:

    I guess from candles pro service, if so, that’s not fair ;)

    • Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 08:27
      Rui says:

      Morning. It’s not from candles pro. It doesn’t have the patterns described and not the crosses mentioned.

  12. Avatar of donmar
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:34
    donmar says:

    why 10 more day’s? RuI

    • Avatar of rbotelho
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 08:54
      rbotelho says:

      The candles pro signals are measured after 10 candles with total possible profit and total possible loss after the signal. So I got short on cable on yesterday signal, so we must at least let the trade go on for the following days.. I am aiming to 220 pips profit… Past candles show it’s quite possible so let’s see :)

      • Avatar of rbotelho
        Comment left on:
        August 6, 2010 at 08:57
        rbotelho says:

        Also, this profit level matches a good support on cable – around 1.5560. Of course I can be completely wrong and this damn cross just ignores my analysis and will fly north and hits my stop loss… :P

      • Avatar of zubair123
        Comment left on:
        August 6, 2010 at 09:21
        zubair123 says:

        Hmm that means Candlestick pro is working great. ;) i’m not signup for the signup since paypal service is not available here.

  13. Avatar of rbotelho
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:59
    rbotelho says:

    Ok, gotta go to work, take care and good luck guys! Have a great weekend! :) @piphut Mark, thanks for your effort and for the great price for the access. Just have to make 69 extra pips on the month! ;)

  14. Avatar of elmentor
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:03
    elmentor says:

    somebody short now?

  15. Avatar of saharaview
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:19
    saharaview says:

    @zubeir hello; hve news from johnny

    • Avatar of zubair123
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 09:23
      zubair123 says:

      Hi @saharaview . What do you mean exactly?

      • Avatar of saharaview
        Comment left on:
        August 6, 2010 at 09:27
        saharaview says:

        we have not seen JOHNNY on the area tha s all

        • Avatar of zubair123
          Comment left on:
          August 6, 2010 at 09:29
          zubair123 says:

          maybe he is busy nowadays.

  16. Avatar of ozpips
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:21
    ozpips says:

    Congrat Mark on CP launch, well done.
    I look forward to your next registration open:) I got up at midnight last night in Aust. to get your 2pm registration session and saw that the server had crashed, bummer huh. Good luck with it, cant wait to signup.

    • Avatar of piphut
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 14:07
      piphut says:

      Thanks @ozpips, I’ll notify everyone when registration is back open

  17. Avatar of maher17
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:29
    maher17 says:

    @ nassiri to whom you says that???!!!!

  18. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:41
    babajide says:

    mark, how can i get this signal

  19. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:22
    ttom says:
  20. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:23
    ttom says:

    www.
    harmonicpatterns.
    com/

  21. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:23
    ttom says:

    harmonicpatterns dot com/

  22. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:24
    ttom says:

    harmonicpatterns

    then add in the last part, tells you All you could ever want to know

    • Avatar of nassiri
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 10:38
      nassiri says:

      TNQ ttom 2 this link

  23. Avatar of ovyeh
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:45
    ovyeh says:

    NEWS TRADING

    Friday, August 6 2010

    [7:00am NY Time]

    We’ll be getting the Canadian Employment Change release number
    tomorrow, here is the forecast:

    CA Employment Change Forecast 14K Previous 93.2K
    (Unemployment Rate 7.9%)
    ACTION: BUY -15K SELL 45K USD/CAD

    The Trade Plan
    Canadian Employment Change report will be release at 7:00am sharp
    today, and it’s the first of two tradable high impact news releases
    for this Friday. What I am looking for is a minimum deviation of
    30K, or the difference between the Forecast number (14K) versus the
    actual release number; therefore if we get a positive 45K of
    release, we should see demand for the CAD rise, therefore we should
    SELL USD/CAD; however, if we get a negative number, such as -15K or
    worse, we should see some weakness in the CAD, and that will be my
    cue to BUY USD/CAD pair.

    I’ll also pay close attention to the unemployment rate, which stands
    at 7.9%, same forecast as last month’s release. As long as this
    number does not conflict with the Employment Changes, we should
    follow the direction of the news release. If we get a conflict, such
    as better Employment Changes but higher Unemployment Rate, then
    we’ll need to look at the context of the market before take the
    trade.

    [8:30am NY Time]
    We’ll be trading the US NFP (Nonfarm Payroll) Employment Changes, it
    is the most volatile news release for the week as traders and their
    cousins all sit around in front of their PCs preparing to jump in…
    Here’s the forecast:

    US NFP Forecast -63K Previous -125K
    Unemployment Rate Forecast 9.6% Previous 9.5%
    ACTION: USD/JPY BUY +1K SELL -140K

    The Trade Plan
    With today’s release, as per a special report by Bloomberg, the
    expectation ranges from -30K to +130K, counting on an increase in
    the private sector payrolls estimated at +90K versus the 83K release
    in June. This number has been revised up slightly just after ADP’s
    report released earlier this week, which came out at a 42K versus an
    estimate of 38K.

    Of course, the Unemployment Rate will be another important figure
    today as it is expected to rise to 9.6% from 9.5% in June. I believe
    that in the event we get a conflict of releases, such as a better
    NFP figure but worse Unemployment Rate, market will react more to
    the Unemployment rate if both releases show large deviations,
    especially if it’s above the psychological 10.0% level.

    Considering some degree of consolidation that we saw during
    Thursday’s trading session after ECB Trichet’s cautious speech, JPY
    could fall under the old “Buy on Rumor, Sell on News” effect against
    USD if we were to get an as expected release, or -63K; therefore,
    I’d lean towards selling JPY (BUY USD/JPY) if both NFP and
    Unemployment Rate come out close to expectation…

    However, if we get a significantly lower release on the NFP (-140K)
    and Unemployment Rate, I’d be looking to BUY JPY on a retracement.
    There might be a chance to go LONG on GBP/USD or EUR/USD as another
    disappointing NFP release could mean a bearish trend is developing
    as traders may SELL USD on the perception of a possible slowdown in
    U.S. economic recovery or double dip recession. But this movement
    may be delayed as the initial market movement will be focused on
    strong JPY, which will in turn drive all other major crosses lower.

    On the other hand, if we get a positive NFP release (+1K) and the
    Unemployment Rate remains at 9.6% or at 9.5% unchanged level since
    last release, JPY should weaken immediately as USD/JPY may recover
    and move above 87 or possibly 88 throughout the trading session,
    eventually head back on to 90 in the next few weeks… This could
    potentially turn into a long-term trade as other JPY crosses may
    provide much better profit level (GBP/JPY for instance).

    If we get a conflict release, we will wait and see how the market
    reacts first. If there is an overwhelming sentiment driving the
    market, there will be plenty of opportunities for entry. If you just
    wait for 5 minutes before making an entry, you’ll get a much clearer
    view.

  24. Avatar of maher17
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:46
    maher17 says:

    @ nassiri for second time i ask you ..to whom you says that???!!!!(August 6, 2010 at 9:00 am · Reply
    And then put u foot in u mouth .. TNQ)

    • Avatar of nassiri
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 11:13
      nassiri says:

      nothing
      this mess. is not 4 u
      goodluck

  25. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 11:12
    maherftw says:

    found 2 metatrader .mq4 for harmonic patter plotting and detection here: http://www.trade-forex-harmonic-patterns.com/forex-trading-guide.html

  26. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 11:44
    mongoose says:

    @ttom, some time ago you posted a site with trading patters explanations, could you please send it again?

  27. Avatar of ikehsunday
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 11:59
    ikehsunday says:

    good morning everyone and mark. is good to be here now. so what’s up?

  28. Avatar of ikehsunday
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 12:03
    ikehsunday says:

    hello everyone! good to be around

  29. Avatar of ikehsunday
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 12:06
    ikehsunday says:

    mark, thanks for having plans for us in Nigeria.
    i did not specify which payment system u would prefer.
    i use liberty reserve and i hope that will do the work

  30. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 12:56
    maherftw says:

    guys what the hell just happened, price jumped then skyrocketed breaking major resistance levels! lets hope it breaks 3265

    • Avatar of chitembo
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 13:39
      chitembo says:

      it is Non Farm Payroll today. The report caused the pair to sky rocket

  31. Avatar of chitembo
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 13:09
    chitembo says:

    Thank God for NFP, i have managed to recoup my losses today.

    Thank God

  32. Avatar of radulapadat
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 13:20
    radulapadat says:

    pretty quiet in here today

    • Avatar of tinytommy
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 13:45
      tinytommy says:

      its friday :)

  33. Avatar of chitembo
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 14:03
    chitembo says:

    Look at the price go up.

  34. Avatar of piphut
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 14:09
    piphut says:

    Now that is a price jump. Reason #296 I don’t trade Fridays.

  35. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 14:27
    maherftw says:

    it seems that we have a bearish butterfly pattern on both the eur/usd and gbpusd, this morning’s @nassiri signal on the gbpusd played out quite nicely.
    http://forexrainbow.com/files/x2dy1yt4lt54h1xfyw9j.gif

    http://i.imgur.com/uoj8A.jpg
    http://i.imgur.com/FRmNW.jpg

  36. Avatar of saharaview
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 15:06
    saharaview says:

    @piphut how are y MARK not to busy with this new baby!!!

  37. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 15:56
    rabia says:

    hi mark,
    So this is candlepro service, so what about the most interesting part of the premuim service which is providing us with accurate signals. We were expecting this part to show up the first.

    • Avatar of cadtek
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 17:44
      cadtek says:

      he said it will come soon he is the Quote “Q: What is the difference between this and premium?
      A: CandlePro focuses on signals generated from candlesticks, and gives you the information to intelligently trade candlesticks. I recommend you watch the trade example videos on the launch page to really get a feel for what CandlePro does and does not do.

      Q: Why not launch Premium and CandlePro together?
      A: This is NOT the full premium service. Given the extremely positive response I got to the candlestick service tour I posted a couple weeks ago I decided it made the most sense to launch them as two different products. It then made sense to launch one product at a time so I decided to launch this one first.”

    • Avatar of cadtek
      Comment left on:
      August 6, 2010 at 17:45
      cadtek says:

      plus I like the idea, if he would have released prem. with all services would been more than 69 a month

  38. Comment left on:
    August 7, 2010 at 07:07
    Joe G says:

    @piphut Mark is there a problem with the login, i cant get in to do research.

    • Avatar of piphut
      Comment left on:
      August 7, 2010 at 09:11
      piphut says:

      Hi Joe, login appears to be working OK to me. Can you send details of your problem (any error messages you see would be helpful) to support AT piphut DOT com?

      If you have forgotten your password then please try “forgot password” from the login screen.

      Thanks,

      Mark

  39. Comment left on:
    August 7, 2010 at 11:32
    Joe G says:

    Hi, Mark this is the message i got and my password and login is correct.

    This webpage is not available.

    The webpage at http://piphut.com/wp-login.php might be temporarily down or it may have moved permanently to a new web address.

  40. Avatar of dutch
    Comment left on:
    August 7, 2010 at 12:44
    dutch says:

    hello @piphut.i hope you got my mail.do have a lovely weekend

  41. Avatar of saharaview
    Comment left on:
    August 7, 2010 at 14:11
    saharaview says:

    @dutch how are you

    • Avatar of dutch
      Comment left on:
      August 7, 2010 at 14:45
      dutch says:

      i’m good my bro.hope you are having a lovely weekend so far.

  42. Avatar of pipsqueek
    Comment left on:
    August 9, 2010 at 02:28
    pipsqueek says:

    After a minor consolidation, EURUSD continues its upward movement from 1.2732 and the rise extended to as high as 1.3333 level. Support is at the lower border of the price channel on 4-hour chart, now at 1.3194, as long as the channel support holds, another rise is still possible and next target would be at 1.3500-1.3600 area. On the downside, a clear break below the channel support will indicate that the rise from 1.2732 is complete.

  43. Avatar of ikehsunday
    Comment left on:
    August 9, 2010 at 09:38
    ikehsunday says:

    the things i hear about the new candle pro makes me want to cry. mark , pls use other means of payment and let us we that are in Nigeria be a part of your good work. am begging you bro

  44. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:29
    Rui says:

    I still didn’t make it big. I am playing the daily frames… I have to wait 10 more days… :)

  45. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:38
    nassiri says:

    I dont Use CandlePro
    I working with Harmonic Pattern pul
    I will keep my fingers crosses 4 u ……….

  46. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 08:59
    nassiri says:
  47. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:00
    nassiri says:

    And then put u foot in u mouth .. TNQ

  48. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:53
    nassiri says:

    for finding harmonic pattern u should use Fibonachi

  49. Avatar of nassiri
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 11:17
    nassiri says:

    no.
    ttom I said that using just fibo.. for recogn… harmonic pattern . And i use elliot , Technical & …
    i just working with RSI & MACD indicator for finding HD & RD

  50. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 17:49
    ttom says:

    ah yes but it is rare indeed that they move like that, a good number of them also are invalidated as well, read the webpage i posted earlier, these can be used for added confirmation but i know no-one that traded them alone. It would be just as easy to post ones that did not work as well

    caution is warranted here

  51. Avatar of chitembo
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:13
    chitembo says:

    @nassiri

    what do you mean?

  52. Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:35
    maherftw says:

    @nassiri could u provide a link for your harmonic pattern detection signal my good man?

  53. Avatar of chitembo
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:41
    chitembo says:

    yes, please send me a link to the Harmonic Pattern.

  54. Avatar of pego
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 09:48
    pego says:
  55. Avatar of ttom
    Comment left on:
    August 6, 2010 at 10:41
    ttom says:

    or use an indicator that looks for them in MT4 platforms

    the Zup indicator defines these in MT4 and has been around for years

    http://www.forex-tsd.com/harmonic-trading/1093-harmonic-trading.html

    another place to start

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