Intraday Update

Good morning PipHutters! Charts are a bit mixed at the moment so we will be doing an intraday update today to hopefully give the charts more time to develop after the weekend.

Signal will come out around the end of the London session, middle of the New York session.

See you then!

- PipHut Team

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  1. mahmoud
    July 16, 2012 at 09:15 Reply

    Thank you conscious of Sgnalhay

  2. Avatar of Grace
    Grace
    July 16, 2012 at 09:31 Reply

    Thanks for the signal is a compass to me God bless U.GM @all pipshutters..

  3. kalpesh
    July 16, 2012 at 09:43 Reply

    thnks:)

  4. Avatar of Maria
    Maria
    July 16, 2012 at 10:51 Reply

    Friday’s short set with 2 active positions in action, locking stops to 1.2250 (BE) since I’m unable to follow the market for the next 4-5h.

  5. Avatar of Grace
    Grace
    July 16, 2012 at 11:53 Reply

    Hi maria.nice meeting u again hope all is well? @ your comment are u placing a sell order, sorry for my novice question, am new in fx trading. Are you a female or male? sorry for trying to know your identity

    • Avatar of Maria
      Maria
      July 16, 2012 at 13:18 Reply

      Hi Grace, sorry for the delay, just saw your question. I was not placing an order, I had 2 active orders from Friday and I was just moving the stops on those.

  6. BeMoreWild
    July 16, 2012 at 11:54 Reply

    where is the rest of the GanG?:) GL Maria:) n dnt mind what our fellow traders do or say….might b “J” factor involved…best of luck to u n evey1:)

    • Avatar of Maria
      Maria
      July 16, 2012 at 13:19 Reply

      Thank you, appreciate it

  7. Avatar of Kay
    Kay
    July 16, 2012 at 12:02 Reply

    CandlePRO Alert

       ***************

       Pair: GBPUSD
       Type: Hammer
       Timeframe: 4h
       
       Signal Time: 2012-07-16 05:01:03 UTC
       Candle Close Price: 1.55430
       
       Profit Factor High: 7.00
       Strength: 55
       Triple: No
       Double: No
       
       Support (within 10 pips): No
       Resistance (within 10 pips): No
       Support Pierced: No
       Resistance Pierced: No

  8. Avatar of Maria
    Maria
    July 16, 2012 at 12:41 Reply

    Booking partial profit for combined 80 pips on the EURUSD shorts. Flat for now, re-calibrating later.

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 12:43 Reply

      Weak US sales numbers, wise move @Maria, have a great day!

      • Avatar of Maria
        Maria
        July 16, 2012 at 13:22 Reply

        Thanks Chip, you too

  9. BeMoreWild
    July 16, 2012 at 13:05 Reply

    i dont know y i still see greeback climbing up… :s

  10. SimmaX
    July 16, 2012 at 13:16 Reply

    Same here as well…

  11. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 13:22 Reply

    lol… I kep getting stuck in the old discussion page…. thought I was the lone ranger today

  12. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 13:27 Reply

    took a long on the release of the CPI as the weak numbers should give us a short term pop on QE3 bets…

    Seems as though it’s just a ? of which can is being kicked down the raod at the moment…

    With the German courts delaying the decision on ESM for 8 weeks and declining EU inflation numbers raising bets of another EU rate cut the earlier direction was down but now with worse than expected numbers raising hopes of QE3 we’re back to a fundamental tug of war….

    I am still short long term… but my intraday bias is slightly to the upside until the europhoria wears off
    fwiw :)

  13. Chip
    July 16, 2012 at 13:28 Reply

    Of course it’s a short lived small rally, I can’t wait to short it :)

  14. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 13:30 Reply

    Hi @doc1….think the eu going to sustain upward momentum?

    • Avatar of Jim
      Jim
      July 16, 2012 at 15:54 Reply

      Sorry @ Rahman… just saw your message… guess we know the answer though :)

  15. Chip
    July 16, 2012 at 13:32 Reply

    I think around 1.23 will be a good area to short with sl @1.24 and tp @1.20 (mid term) or if you want to go long term tp @1.10.

  16. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 13:36 Reply

    Hi @Chip….yes, I would most definitely short at 1.23 areas….in fact I have shorted one at the 1.244 areas…

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 13:41 Reply

      Hi @RahmanSL, I was thinking about going short around that level too, but I’m so hungry now that I have to go to lunch.
      Take care, see you later!

  17. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 13:38 Reply

    …and thinking of closing that short coz the pair is behaving too erratic for my liking….but will try to hold on until end of today’s trading session.

  18. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 13:53 Reply

    @Chip….yup buddy, never trade on an empty stomach…nor go shopping either : )

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 14:00 Reply

      Problem solved, I was thinking if you don’t like the erratic behavior of E/U you could move your sl to break even and if it gets hit you can short from better levels and if it makes you good profit – even better.

  19. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 14:05 Reply

    @Chip…but I noticed its attempted to slide down a few times, but something is holding it up.

    I have a suspicion that the bottom will suddenly fall off….taking traders by surprise….and simply free fall to 1.15 or lower. But, that’s just my suspicion and nothing more.

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 14:09 Reply

      My guess is that the free fall will begin tomorrow if Ben Bernanke tells us that QE3 is off the table for now and will only be used if the economy gets worse.
      If that is the case this week we can see 1.20 and the next few weeks your 1.15 is possible too in my view.

  20. RahmanSL
    July 16, 2012 at 14:14 Reply

    Yes, Bernanke have the power to move market simply by opening his mouth….

    Well, I have just now closed my short at 1.22130…can’t take the suspense as it’s very near my trading session…over 10pm my side of the pond and have a heavy work schedule tomorrow morning.

    Good luck with your trades!

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 14:18 Reply

      Thanks for your input @RahmanSL, good night sleep tight!

    • Avatar of John R
      John R
      July 16, 2012 at 14:43 Reply

      Well…just a thought from me….we had good USA news today. So, that does NOT help bring out QE3.
      I’m thinking we get some short coverings in EURUSD until he speaks and confirms they are not ready to QE3. After that buy the rumor, sell the news…… EURUSD can commence to test 1.2.

      Stocks are pathetic today. So, the overall sentiment hasn’t changed. EURUSD is still going to die.

  21. Avatar of Maria
    Maria
    July 16, 2012 at 14:19 Reply

    Replacing EURUSD short orders at 1.2250 and entering one at current price at 1.2215. Same set in play as last week. Max positioning 26 trades. As always the same money management strategy – lower smaller, higher bigger positions.

    • Avatar of John R
      John R
      July 16, 2012 at 14:41 Reply

      Haha….we are following each other in terms of flow direction…except I have been longing USDCHF.
      I booked 20 pips on USDCHF earlier today….but thanks to another EURUSD rally, I re-bought one more long on USDCHF around 0.9818.

      If for any reason USDCHF dips further, I will be adding another long around 0.9780 (S1 for daily pivot). Otherwise, enjoy the profit floats and decide where to TP.

      At this point selling EURUSD at all rallies are still working out great. In my case, I opt to long USDCHF instead, as it is 30% cheaper.

      • Avatar of Maria
        Maria
        July 16, 2012 at 14:47 Reply

        Nice John, fully calibrated :)

  22. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:21 Reply

    The rhetoric from the news seems to be upbeat and at these technical levels we should see further gains on the euro in the short term…. still holding my short term long but will add to my long term short []|B?D

  23. SimmaX
    July 16, 2012 at 15:21 Reply

    Any idea of the increase of the EUR/USD??

  24. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:22 Reply

    Monday, July 16, 2012 ⌚11:07 AM
    Sovereign bond risk falls in Europe, credit-default swaps show.

  25. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:25 Reply

    I’m thinking we’ll at least see 2300/20….

    I’m watching for the big move to signal a short squeeze… after the squeeze I think we’ll pullback until we get past Big Ben’s speech… with the dismal CPI numbers investors seem to be betting on a better chance of more QE3

  26. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:26 Reply

    It’s like pulling hen’s teeth to get past 10 pips w/o stalling…..

  27. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:29 Reply

    Or more than likely investors are playing it safe at these levels and locking in profit b4 the FED minutes

  28. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:36 Reply

    Let’s see how far we pullback on the 1m cycle down… fwiw… this is a good way to determine when an exhaustion level has been reached….. for example…. as we’ve been seeing the tf’s have pulled back very little from the 1m uo so if we see a deeper pullback to the 5m with little rallying when the cycle switches then it’s an indication that exhaustion is setting in fwiw

  29. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:38 Reply

    Closed my long position…short @ 2264 sl 10 pips

  30. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 15:41 Reply

    hi @all

    • Avatar of Jim
      Jim
      July 16, 2012 at 16:09 Reply

      Hi Sahara

  31. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 15:41 Reply

    this is a scalp as I feel we have more upside after a small pullback but as we are losing the 1 and 5m tf I’ll tp on my long and give it a try

  32. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 16:03 Reply

    My guess is tomorrow we will not see the FEDS endorse more QE3… for various reasons..but my belief is they are not going to prop up the US$ before the election…

    IMO long positions should be treated as short term only and probably closer to scalps than swings jmho and fwiw

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 16:09 Reply

      hi @doc !! rumours rumours !! again with qe3 and china bank too !!! sorry was away all the day for job !!! was short from friday (closed with pips ) long from low ….waiting to entry long eyen and aud usd usdchf short (a nice entry after a pulback ) …………..we will receive daily signal !!??? (to sell 2330 area ,,,??

      • Avatar of Jim
        Jim
        July 16, 2012 at 16:15 Reply

        congrats…. perception and rumours move the market… trading news is a losing game [|B?D

      • Avatar of Maria
        Maria
        July 16, 2012 at 16:19 Reply

        Hi Sahara and congrats, nice work

        • Avatar of sahara
          sahara
          July 16, 2012 at 16:22 Reply

          hi @maria !! thanks ! any idea usdchf ??

          • Avatar of Maria
            Maria
            July 16, 2012 at 16:28

            No, sorry, no time at the moment for anything else than EU.

          • Avatar of John R
            John R
            July 16, 2012 at 17:20

            @saharaview…… USDCHF is almost exactly opposite to the bearish EURUSD.

            Long on dips….preferably at bid points/ daily pivot, confluencing supports

          • Avatar of sahara
            sahara
            July 16, 2012 at 17:24

            thanks @jonhr !! there was a entry with my 2 h candle (missed !! same situation here a new short possible but not clear yet !! (for 25 or 30 pips

  33. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 16:12 Reply

    usd chf Bearish Engulfing

    Timeframe: 15m
    Close Price: 0.97900
    Candle Open: 2012.07.16 15:45
    Profit Factor high: 2.03

    bearish

    0 /100

    -
    -

    USDCHF

    New Candle!
    2012.07.16 16:00

    bullish doji

    Timeframe: 30m
    Close Price: 0.97900
    Candle Open: 2012.07.16 15:30
    Profit Factor high: 8.80

    bullish

    50 /100

    -
    -

    USDCHF

    New Candle!
    2012.07.16 16:00

    Bearish Engulfing

    Timeframe: 4h
    Close Price: 0.97900
    Candle Open: 2012.07.16 12:00
    Profit Factor high: 4.19

  34. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 16:27 Reply

    aud the key 1s 0250 area if up will try 50/60 pips by 20 pips

  35. Avatar of Maria
    Maria
    July 16, 2012 at 16:27 Reply

    EURUSD 3rd short set order was triggered at 1.2270.

  36. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 16:46 Reply

    if pullback (strat 4h ) just an idea http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/528/67860364.png/

  37. SimmaX
    July 16, 2012 at 17:05 Reply

    I just placed short order for USD/CHF at 0.9795 and have stop loss at 0.9820. The reasons is the SHS formation at the 1H time frame. Any takes from others?

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 17:10 Reply

      in @sim 4 pips before you !!

      • Avatar of sahara
        sahara
        July 16, 2012 at 17:11 Reply

        my sl below my 2 h candle (closed 9788 !!

  38. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 17:26 Reply

    @Doc !! heeelllp ! what s all of those gaps this afternoon ??? just see it now !!

  39. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 17:32 Reply

    trying a up to bke r in aud

  40. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 18:04 Reply

    nice all of this !!

  41. FXraider
    July 16, 2012 at 18:05 Reply

    Jonny was rite He alwais rite. Soon it will go 1.2350 1,2450

  42. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 18:09 Reply

    best entry eu 2187 !!!!!!hallilouya!! tchin all

  43. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 18:11 Reply

    EUR/USD 0,000 7/16/12 5:30 AM 1.21870 472.50 0.00 0.00 ….2.50 Mkt
    7/16/12 2:09 PM 1.22815

    • Avatar of Maria
      Maria
      July 16, 2012 at 18:14 Reply

      excellent Sahara!

      • Avatar of sahara
        sahara
        July 16, 2012 at 18:16 Reply

        thanks @maria !! like that i can forget my “RED MAY MONTH” !!!

  44. Avatar of Maria
    Maria
    July 16, 2012 at 18:16 Reply

    EURUSD next short in the set pending at 1.2290, 1.2320 after that. Good night all

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 18:18 Reply

      yes @maria i think so !! but will wait @Mark signal !! (perhaps as you said 2330 area !!

      • Avatar of sahara
        sahara
        July 16, 2012 at 18:21 Reply

        pro piphut (thanks)
        Bullish Engulfing

        Timeframe: 1h
        Close Price: 1.22710
        Candle Open: 2012.07.16 17:00
        Profit Factor high: 16.31

        bullish

        0 /100

        -
        -

        EURUSD

        New Triple!
        2012.07.16 16:00

        Bullish Engulfing

        Timeframe: 4h
        Close Price: 1.22650
        Candle Open: 2012.07.16 12:00
        Profit Factor high: 1.81

        bullish

        92 /100

        -
        -

        EURUSD

        New Candle!
        2012.07.16 00:00

        Inverted Hammer

        Timeframe: daily
        Close Price: 1.22460
        Candle Open: 2012.07.15 00:00
        Profit Factor high: 2.02

  45. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 18:28 Reply

    saharaview says:

    aud the key 1s 0250 area if up will try 50/60 pips by 20 pips

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 18:29 Reply

      Comment left on:
      July 16, 2012 at 17:32
      saharaview says:

      trying a up to bke r in aud

  46. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 18:35 Reply

    our last high 2257 2273 where will be this one

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 18:37 Reply

      any candle near 2296 area we will see (2238/70

  47. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 18:41 Reply

    What broker do you use Sahara?
    FXCM had issues with the charts this am and it caused gaps from missing data

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 18:44 Reply

      fxcm yes

      • Avatar of sahara
        sahara
        July 16, 2012 at 18:44 Reply

        but nothing in net dania !!

  48. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 18:47 Reply

    I have the same gaps from FXCM

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 18:49 Reply

      yes aud gu usdchf too!!

  49. Avatar of sahara
  50. Avatar of Jim
    Jim
    July 16, 2012 at 18:50 Reply

    Yeah …it’s a glitch from FXCM chart server crashing today

  51. SimmaX
    July 16, 2012 at 19:09 Reply

    Indicators shows uptrend in 4h frame. Any other indications that shows the trend prevails? I just shorted at 1.2277 as the CCI shows overbought and the stochastic shows downward.. Any one with me??

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 19:12 Reply

      am with 2h candel in !! even going down now !! i have not shorted it !!

    • Chip
      July 16, 2012 at 19:17 Reply

      I don’t think we can rally past 1.2350, so your short should be fine if your sl is above that level.
      Anyway tomorrow after Big (and bald) Ben will take QE3 off the table for the time being, I think then your short will really shine. If I’m wrong and he whispers something about QE3 being imminent – you know what to do.
      My guess is that it’s gonna be like @Johnr said today and tommorow until the news the market will buy the rumour and then everybody will sell the news, and we’ll see 1.20 later this week.

      • Avatar of sahara
        sahara
        July 16, 2012 at 19:21 Reply

        no problem with piphut team !!!great team congrats all

  52. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 19:17 Reply

    if 2270 will hold will try it to 23 !!

  53. SimmaX
    July 16, 2012 at 19:31 Reply

    Yes, but the indicator shows for downturn.. thats y I shorted. Any news from Johnny?

  54. FXraider
    July 16, 2012 at 19:32 Reply

    It goin above 1.24
    I remeber Jonny says only sell from above there

    • Avatar of sahara
      sahara
      July 16, 2012 at 19:49 Reply

      let s see what happen at (21H52 (19h52 utc) till wall street closing !!

  55. Avatar of sahara
    sahara
    July 16, 2012 at 20:08 Reply

    ss every where !!! even in my 2h too !!!!(closed long with 81 pips others 91 ….will let one open with 40 pips green !!! usd chf closed 17 pips (will let aud and eyen long too




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