Tagged "candles"

12-10-09

5:14a GMT – Shooting stars on the 30m chart have really been providing solid sell signals for me the past few weeks – have you all noticed the same thing? In general if the star is near resistance and is higher than the 10 or so preceding candles (meaning that it qualifies as an ‘extinction’ candle) it has been a very reliable sell signal. Take a look at the 30m chart below with shooting stars circled in blue:

Of course nearly anything has been a good sell signal this week – the EURUSD has dropped almost 500 pips since December 3rd! That includes our signal from yesterday too – we had a near picture perfect pierce of our resistance at 1.4775 with the tip of a shooting star (10:30 GMT on the 30m charts) that was quickly followed by a nice drop. If you missed the first entry the markets were kind enough to provide a second opportunity to enter above 1.4770 a few hours later on a 13:00 GMT rally. I ended up covering at 1.4700 after my third target at 1.4670 was not reached for +75 pips profit.

On to today – you can view the forex calendar here but we have the GBP and CHF announcing rate decisions (12:00 and 8:30 GMT, respectively), trade balances for the USD and CAD (13:30 GMT) and initial jobless claims for USD (13:30 GMT). The news I’m watching closely is the US initial jobless claims. It was a jobs report last week that sent the USD on its major rally and I believe it will be this report that defines the direction of the pair for the coming days.

Daily Outlook: On the 4-hour chart below we can clearly see that after the strong rising trend support was broken the pair has entered into what appears to be a bearish continuation pattern -(aka a “death spiral”). Technical outlook is therefore extremely bearish in the short-term however we have the big news events mentioned above that could thin out markets and make for some aimless ranging in the morning hours.

Trading Idea: I will stay out of the EURUSD until the news has been announced at 13:30 GMT. Until then there might be some (very short-term) trades worth taking at the top of the 30m channel  (shown above) where the last shooting star just touched off of. Also a break below 1.4700 will most likely open way to another challenge of 1.4670 for a quick 30 pips. After news events I will look for a shorting opportunity off of 1.4750 with targets at 1.4715, 1.4675 and 1.4640.

(click to enlarge)

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12-2-09

5:45a GMT – No trade was entered from yesterday as I held off for the news (which had very little immediate impact). Which is fine with me – as many of you know I prefer less trades with a higher win percentage rather than trying to make lots of trades. Many of you yesterday did ignore the news however and entered long at the 05:00a bullish hammer which pierced our support at 1.4980 – a move which would have yielded 100+ pips within just a few hours.

Daily Outlook: 4-hour chart below, zoomed out so we can see the bullish uptrend of the last few months that we find ourselves in. With many speculative traders attempting to short the pair as it approaches its 2009 high I will continue my strategy of looking to buy on dips. I’d prefer the  1.5015 or 1.4980 supports to buy on but the uptrend is strong right now so I will also keep my eyes open for bullish candles around 1.5050 support. There is USD news event (non-farm payroll) at 13:15 GMT so I will stay out of markets around these times. For more details on it visit the forex calendar here.

Trading Idea: From 1.5015 support targets are 1.5045, 1.5080, 1.5110 and 1.5140. Will also look for a solid entry reason around 1.5050 (such as a reversal candlestick from the candlestick alert service here) as well as uptrend is fairly strong right now, but would still prefer a solid dip to buy into.

(click to enlarge)

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I’m proud to roll out a few new services for PipHutters today, services that I think you will find extremely useful to help you trade better. Some of these services you may have noticed recently, others I bet you have not…

By far the most exciting of the new announcements, welcome the Candlestick Alert Service! No matter how good a trader you are sometimes you miss candlestick signals. The best of us do it. Not anymore!

What this little gem does is monitor the 30m and 1h charts of the EUR/USD and show you if any bullish or bearish candlestick signals have been detected! Now this is still in BETA, so I want to remind people that the presentation might still be a little rough around the edges but that is what I need your feedback for!

Right now the service will only detect candlesticks on the 30m and 1h of the EURUSD and I’m starting with only the doji, shooting star, hammer, inverted hammer and hanging man. Once I’m sure it is detecting those properly I will begin to roll out other patterns as well..

Click here to visit the Candlestick Alert Service

What could go better with the Candlestick Alert Service than a Candlestick Quick Reference guide? Not much! This is pretty short right now, because I wanted to only display candles that the alert service is currently detecting (see above for list). But on the quick reference guide if you click on the image or name of any candle it will bring you to a more detailed page.

Click here to visit the Candlestick Reference Guide.

I’ve had quite a few people ask me recently for a forex market hours tool, to see what markets are open and closed. Ask and you shall receive! Pretty self-explanatory. Check it out.

Click here to visit the Forex Market Hours page.

Yes, I know PipHut already had forums but, to be honest, I hated them. They were clunky, looked bad, were hard to navigate. I think these new forums (hopefully you agree) will be much easier for everyone to use. I know that the comments section of the posts are easier (and in many cases better) for discussing the day’s trading, but there are some things much easily discussed in a forum, such as trading systems that you can refer back to, ongoing conversations about a news event, commodities, OR if you want to post a chart or keep a journal thread going.

By the way, if you start a thread and aren’t getting much traction just let me know, I’ll post a link to it front and center on the main site and give you plenty of traffic.

Click here to visit the Candlestick Reference Guide.